Today

76 °F

Cloudy, Showers and Storms Likely

Tonight

59 °F

Cloudy, Chance Thunderstorms

Saturday

75 °F

Mostly Cloudy, Chance of Rain

Saturday Night

60 °F

Cloudy, Chance of Rain

Technical Forecast Discussion Meet the Forecaster

Issued: 8am on Friday, September 27th 2024

Forecast Discussion

Currently, there is an upper-level cut-off low sitting over the southeastern United States with a stationary frontal boundary at the surface. Due to this stalling of a system, it will provide forcing and uplift to provide clouds and chances of precipitation through Tuesday. Major Hurricane Helene made landfall just east of Tallahassee, Florida expected to track NNE to the Tennessee Valley. The outer bands of this tropical system will bring widespread rain for much of the morning and afternoon with rain being heavy at times. Later in the evening, the rain will become more scattered with a chance of embedded thunderstorms. Due to Helene’s fast moving pace and size, Friday will see windy conditions with gusts up to 35 mph at times as pressure differences remain tightly packed.

Clouds will clear a bit late Friday night into Saturday morning giving way to partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies once Helene moves west. This is because Helene is in proximity with the upper-level low and both will begin rotating around a common center. Eventually, the upper-level low and Helene will merge and this cut-off low will continue to provide rain chances the rest of the weekend into early next week. The cut-off low will slowly progress eastward into early next week as a cold front moves through Tuesday night into Wednesday as moisture begins to decrease and dry conditions move in.

Detailed Forecast

Today it will be cloudy with an 80% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Winds from the NE at 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. High 76°F

Tonight it will be cloudy with a 40% chance of late evening scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds from the E at 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Low 59°F

Saturday it will be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of afternoon scattered rain showers. Winds from the SE at 0 to 5 mph. High 75°F

Saturday Night it will be cloudy with a 50% chance of rain showers. Winds from the E at 5 to 10 mph. Low 60°F

Extended Forecast

Sunday it will be mostly cloudy with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 75°F with a low near 60°F

Monday it will be mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain showers. High near 77°F with a low near 58°F

Tuesday it will be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers. High near 76°F with a low near 51°F