Issued: 8pm on Sunday, July 26th 2026
Technical Forecast Discussion
Key Message:
- Severe weather possible Monday night into Tuesday before quiet weather settles back in.
Key Message 1…
A cluster of showers and thunderstorms will sweep through the area Monday night into Tuesday morning, with the most likely arrival occurring in the early morning hours based on current model data (as of 8 PM Sunday). Models continue to indicate the potential for a bowing cluster of thunderstorms moving in from the north overnight. In addition to the chance for severe weather, a low‑level jet will advect high dew points into the area, and precipitable water values will range from 1.5 to 2 inches. Due to the fast‑moving nature of the system, the flood risk should remain minimal for most of the county. However, areas that experienced flash flooding last week will face a risk for it again due to already saturated soils. After the showers and thunderstorms exit, calm and quiet weather is expected to return, accompanied by seasonal temperatures.
