Issued: 8pm on Sunday, September 6th 2026
Technical Forecast Discussion
Key Messages:
- High pressure and an upper-level ridge will dominate the weather pattern until mid-week
- A low pressure system will move through the region, bringing chances of rain to the area on Thursday.
Key Message 1…
High pressure will begin to dominate the region this evening into mid-week. This will allow an upper-level ridge to build on Tuesday bringing temperatures back into the upper-80s and low-90s. Luckily, dew points will remain in the 60s so heat indices should not be as extreme as last week. These conditions will remain until Wednesday as a cold front will begin to approach the area.
Key Message 2…
A mid-latitude cyclone will push a cold front into the area bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. The cold front paired with a digging shortwave trough will bring a drop in temperature back into the low-80s. As of now, the severe weather risk is constrained by a lack of surface instability, however, chances may increase as the event approaches. A marginal risk (level 1 out of 4) for excessive rainfall is in play for the area on Thursday due to the small risk for localized flash flooding from heavy rain showers.
