Issued: 8am on Thursday, March 12th 2026
Technical Forecast Discussion
Key Messages:
- Stable conditions are expected to return into the weekend as high-pressure moves through.
- Temperatures will drop early next week as a deep trough digs into the region, but will steadily rise as the week progresses.
- The chance for rain and maybe even snow flurries returns Sunday evening into Monday as a potent low pushes northeastward.
Short-Term Forecast (Thursday 03/12/2026 through Saturday 03/14/2026):
The intense low from yesterday has since ejected northeastward into New England, occluding in the process. Following this low will be chilly temperatures as drop down back below the 60s today from the cold, stable air following behind a cold front. The trough aloft will crawl eastward as well during the day today before zonal flow overtakes on Friday. A shortwave alongside another low will move over the state throughout Friday, but thankfully precipitation is not expected from this and will generally stay ahead of the associated warm front. Conditions will remain quite stable, and due to the warm front that will move through on Friday, temperatures will warm into the upper-50s before dropping slightly once again thanks to another cold front. High-pressure will follow close behind, further stabilizing the region.
Long-Term Forecast (Sunday 03/15/2026 through Wednesday 03/18/2026):
Another potent low will return once more by Sunday, allowing temperatures to warm back up into the upper-60s to 70 by then as a warm front overtakes the region. This low will bring moisture into Ohio, bringing back the possibility for rain overnight Sunday into Monday; however, as this low progresses eastward and a cold front moves through, an upper-level trough will dig and deepen over the central US and into the Midwest. Cold temperatures will fill in this space, and if moisture persists into the daytime hours, we could see the return of some snow flurries on Monday. By Monday, however, this low will occlude and weaken, so any activity will likely remain fairly weak. High-pressure will quickly fill in right behind this low alongside a major ridge right behind it. While this trough remains over the region, temperatures will continue to be much chillier than we’ve gotten used to recently. Thankfully as this trough weakens and exits northeast temperatures will begin to steadily warm once more.
