Issued: 8pm on Sunday, January 11th 2026
Technical Forecast Discussion
Key Messages:
- Stable conditions will define the short-term as high-pressure sits over the surface.
- Rain and snow may return Wednesday and Thursday morning, respectively, as a surface low moves through before stabilizing by Friday.
Short-Term Forecast (Sunday 01/11/2026 through Tuesday 01/13/2026):
A weak ridge will sit on the western part of the United States, putting Ohio just outside of it. Broad high-pressure at the surface will dominate the eastern half of the CONUS, keeping us dry and stable. Clouds will dissipate rapidly overnight, but temperatures will warm steadily due to a warm front associated with a low in Canada putting Ohio in the warm sector of this mid-latitude cyclone. These temperatures won’t warm like we saw this past week, but we may see temperatures in the 40s Monday and Tuesday thanks to this warm front. As we move into Tuesday, a trough will begin to develop just northwest of Ohio as a deepening low follows alongside this trough. By the afternoon, clouds will slowly build as this low moves closer to the state.
Long-Term Forecast (Wednesday 01/14/2026 through Saturday 01/17/2026):
Overnight Tuesday into Wednesday, the surface low will continue to push southeastward. The trough will deepen Wednesday and Thursday, and the adjoined moisture will bring the chance for rain on Wednesday and snow on Thursday. This deepening low will allow winds to gust to around 20 mph with sustained winds around 15 mph, but by Friday and Saturday they’ll calm slightly. The trough moving over the state Wednesday and Thursday will begin to cut off just east of the state as a larger trough digs over the Great Lakes region by Friday and Saturday. This will make temperatures plummet once more into the mid-20s on Thursday before warming back up into the lower-30s Friday and Saturday from another warm front from another surface low. Other than the rain on Wednesday and the snow Thursday morning, conditions will stabilize once more.
