Issued: 10am on Monday, April 22nd 2024
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Monday 4/22 through Wednesday 4/24):
Surface high pressure will dominate the region today and tomorrow afternoon with weak ridging aloft. Dry conditions are to be expected with a minor warming trend. Clear skies overnight will continue to cause overnight lows in the 30s. Tuesday afternoon, there will be a higher risk for fire danger as RH values plummet into the low 20s and winds pick up between 10-15mph with gusts up 25mph anticipated.
A small upper-level shortwave will move through the region overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. The weak cold front associated with it will bring a line of showers through the area. Less than a quarter of an inch of rain is anticipated. Upper-level ridging will return with a surface high that will once again allow for dry conditions and mostly sunny skies on Wednesday afternoon.
Long-term Forecast (Thursday 4/25 through Sunday 4/28):
Thursday, sunny skies will continue with the high overhead. Cloud cover will increase Friday as another low moves in and the warm front lifts over the region. Temperatures will climb into the upper 70s, and a slight chance of showers with the chance of a few thunderstorms will pick up Friday evening and continue through the weekend as the low slowly moves through, bringing ample moisture and instability. Temperatures will continue to warm significantly over the weekend into the upper 80s
