Issued: 8am on Thursday, December 5th 2024
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Thursday 12/05/2024 through Saturday 12/07/2024):
A cold front will move through early Thursday, bringing gusty northwest winds and significantly cooler air. Light rain is possible before frontal passage, but moisture is limited. Behind the front, cold air advection (CAA) strengthens, with highs struggling to reach the upper 30s to low 40s. Winds will gradually diminish Thursday night as high pressure builds in. Friday and Saturday remain dry under this high-pressure system, with clear skies but unseasonably cold conditions. Morning lows will fall into the low 20s both days, and highs will stay in the mid-30s to low 40s. Radiational cooling on Saturday morning may lead to the coldest temperatures of the period, especially in sheltered areas.
Long-term Forecast (Sunday 12/08/2024 through Wednesday 12/11/2024):
Temperatures will begin to moderate on Sunday as the high shifts east, allowing for southerly flow to return. Highs will rise into the mid-40s under increasing cloud cover. By Monday, a more unsettled pattern develops as a series of troughs approaches from the west, increasing moisture and rain chances. The period will feature a gradual warming trend, with highs reaching the upper 40s to low 50s by midweek. Overnight lows will climb into the mid-30s to low 40s, signaling a shift away from the cold, dry pattern of the short
