Issued: 8am on Thursday, January 2nd 2025
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Thursday 01/02/2025 through Saturday 01/04/2024):
A weak high-pressure system will provide mostly dry and quiet conditions for Thursday, with intervals of clouds and sun as weak mid-level moisture moves through. On Friday, a clipper system will cross the region, bringing light snow showers during the morning and early afternoon. Embedded snow squalls are possible, particularly as a reinforcing shot of cold air aloft generates instability. These squalls may reduce visibility and lead to slick road conditions briefly. Behind this system, a strong pressure gradient will result in breezy conditions, enhancing the already cold feel. By Saturday, high pressure builds back in, allowing for mostly sunny skies, though temperatures will remain well below average with brisk northwesterly winds persisting.
Long-term Forecast (Sunday 01/05/2025 through Wednesday 01/08/2025):
The long-term period starts with increasing cloud cover on Sunday ahead of an advancing low-pressure system from the central Plains. By Monday, a significant winter storm is expected to impact the region as the low deepens and tracks northeast. Snowfall will likely begin early Monday morning, with moderate to heavy accumulation possible throughout the day. This system is associated with ample moisture and strong upper-level support, enhancing the potential for impactful snow totals. Winds may also strengthen, causing blowing and drifting snow. Conditions improve by Tuesday as the system exits to the east, but residual snow showers may linger in the cold northwest flow. By Wednesday, another weak disturbance could bring a chance of light snow, though confidence remains low at this time. Temperatures through the period will remain below average, with the coldest air arriving behind Monday’s system. Confidence is moderate for the overall pattern but remains lower regarding the exact track and intensity of Monday’s winter storm. Residents should monitor updates as this storm has the potential to significantly disrupt travel and outdoor plans.
