Issued: 10pm on Thursday, September 28th 2023
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-Term (Thursday PM 9/28/2023 through Sunday 10/1/2023):
A shortwave trough is currently exiting the region, and clouds will begin to clear tonight into tomorrow as upper-level ridging brings more subsidence to the region, making way for high pressure at the surface. This high pressure is also aided by the region being more to the east of a jet streak from a trough farther out west, pushing more NVA into the Ohio Valley. A warming trend is also expected to begin tomorrow with temperatures being above average over the next 6-10 days with this surface high pressure. Weather will start looking a lot nicer, but temperatures may reach slightly uncomfortable highs in the low 80s. Thankfully, this high pressure will mean dryer weather as well with RH values dropping to the low 40s and possibly into the mid-30s by the end of the weekend during the daytime. For the morning, expect fog and especially dense fog in areas along rivers that will potentially impact your morning commute.
Long-Term (Monday 10/2/2023 through Wednesday 10/4/2023):
This strong ridging pattern is anticipated to persist through the long-term forecasting period. Dryer weather is also going to stick around for the long-term forecast, and with fire season coming back around in Ohio remember that an opening burning ban will be in effect from 6 a.m. to 6 p.m., October through November. Looking ahead, a deep, neutral tilt trough is traversing its way across the western CONUS, bringing with it a very strong cold front. This will not cause concern for the current forecast period, but we will be monitoring it for the potential for impactful weather.
Synopsis:
Thursday PM – Sunday: Weather becoming more clear and warmer. Dry weather coming in.
Monday – Wednesday: Warm and dry weather persisting, beautiful days/nights ahead :)!
