Issued: 12pm on Thursday, February 2nd 2023
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short Term (Thursday 2-2-23 through Sunday 2-5-23)
After a few days of rainy and snowy weather across the southeast Ohio region, we will finally be getting a break thanks to upper level ridging and surface high pressure building in from the east. This will provide us with sunny skies on Thursday through Saturday despite a weak shortwave trough and cold front crossing through Thursday night. This may trigger some light snow flurries Friday morning, but little to no impacts are expected since the front will be lacking moisture. After this frontal passage, however, temperatures will drop significantly, along with some breezier northwesterly winds at the surface, making conditions feel a lot colder, so make sure to bundle up! Thursday night’s lows will drop down into the teens, and Friday’s highs will only be in the 20s compared to Thursday being in the 40s!
Upper ridging and surface high pressure will then rebuild into the area by Friday, keeping conditions dry and gradually warming temperatures back into the 50s by Sunday. A brief shortwave will enter the region on Sunday, but no precipitation is likely to be associated with it as it will have no moisture.
Long Term (Monday 2-6-23 through Thursday 2-9-23)
Things will continue to remain dry at least through early next week before the GFS model starts picking up on a low pressure system pushing eastward across the Canadian border and bringing rain in on Tuesday night. On the other hand, the European model holds off on the rain until Wednesday night into Thursday, with the low pushing into our area from the southwest. Overall, it is still too early to know exactly what is going to happen, with this next potential system still being a little under a week away.