Issued: 12pm on Thursday, February 9th 2023
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short Term (Thursday 2-9-23 through Sunday 2-12-23)
Winds will become rather gusty this afternoon as a deepening low pressure system makes its way into our region. We still remain in the warm sector of this system, which has sky rocketed temperatures to near 70! A wind advisory has been issued until 10pm EST tonight due to these expected wind gusts, with gusts up to 40mph possible as the pressure gradient associated with the low pressure system tightens. Rain showers will begin to develop later this afternoon with the approach of a cold front and a shortwave trough moving from west to east. This system will move through rather quickly, so rainfall amounts will not be significantly heavy. While thunderstorms are not expected despite well above average temperatures, a few convective shower gusts cannot be ruled out. After the cold front moves through, temperatures will unfortunately cool down to more near average for those wanting more spring like conditions.
The rest of the near term forecast is expected to be dry, although there are still chances for some lingering showers on Friday as the low pushes off to the east. Most of Saturday will be dry as well, but chances for precipitation will return on Saturday into Sunday as an upper level trough and upper low both approach from the southwest. The track of this disturbance is still uncertain, so depending on where it ends up going, southeast Ohio could have little to no precipitation from this, but it is worth mentioning.
Long Term (Monday 9-13-23 through Thursday 9-16-23)
High pressure will build into the area for the beginning of the work week before low pressure develops out in the Plains and treks eastward into the Great Lakes region, bringing greater chances for rain likely by Tuesday night, with the GFS showing rain moving out by Thursday afternoon as the low pushes off to the northeast.