Issued: 8pm on Sunday, March 16th 2025
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Sunday 03/16/2025 through Tuesday 03/18/2025):
As of Sunday evening, a potent low-pressure system is traversing the Great Lakes region, propelling a cold front eastward across Ohio. This synoptic setup has resulted in widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms throughout the day, with precipitation expected to taper off overnight as the front advances eastward. Concurrently, a high-pressure system is building into the Ohio Valley from the west, ushering in a cooler and drier air mass for Monday. Anticipate mostly sunny skies and seasonably cool temperatures on Monday, as the high-pressure system dominates. By Tuesday, the high shifts eastward, prompting a return flow of southerly winds that will facilitate a warming trend under continued sunny conditions.
Long-term Forecast (Wednesday 03/19/2025 through Saturday 03/22/2025):
The warming trend persists into Wednesday, with temperatures peaking well above seasonal averages under mostly sunny skies. However, an approaching low-pressure system from the northwest is expected to introduce a cold front into the region by Wednesday night. This frontal passage will likely bring showers and a potential for thunderstorms, followed by a marked drop in temperatures. Post-frontal conditions on Thursday and Friday will feature cooler temperatures and increased cloud cover, as high pressure briefly rebuilds. Looking ahead to Saturday, another system may approach, bringing additional chances for precipitation, though details remain uncertain at this range.
