Issued: 8pm on Sunday, February 23rd 2025
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Sunday 02/23/2025 through Tuesday 02/25/2025):
As of this evening, high pressure is centered over the Tennessee Valley, extending its influence into southeastern Ohio. This system is responsible for the partly cloudy skies and calm conditions observed in Athens tonight. Overnight, temperatures are expected to drop to near freezing, with light southwesterly winds developing as the high shifts eastward. On Monday, the region will experience a warming trend due to continued southwesterly flow. A mix of sun and clouds is anticipated, with breezy conditions developing in the afternoon. This setup will result in milder temperatures, making it a favorable day for outdoor activities. By Tuesday, an approaching shortwave trough from the northwest will introduce increased cloudiness and a chance of light rain during the morning hours. As the trough passes, expect a shift to westerly winds and gradual clearing by late afternoon. Temperatures will remain mild, though slightly cooler than Monday.
Long-term Forecast (Wednesday 02/26/2025 through Saturday 03/01/2025):
Wednesday is projected to be the warmest day of the week, as a ridge builds aloft and southwesterly surface winds persist. This pattern will bring intervals of clouds and sunshine, with temperatures reaching well above average for late February. Late Wednesday into Thursday, a cold front associated with a low-pressure system moving through the Great Lakes will approach the area. This front is expected to bring a brief period of showers, primarily during the morning hours on Thursday. In the front’s wake, cooler air will filter into the region, leading to overcast skies and a noticeable drop in temperatures. Friday will see the influence of high pressure building in from the northwest, resulting in chilly conditions with persistent low clouds. Winds will be northerly, reinforcing the cooler air mass over the area. Looking ahead to Saturday, another system may impact the region, bringing a mix of rain and snow. However, confidence in the specifics remains low at this time, and the forecast will be refined as the week progresses.
