Issued: 8am on Thursday, January 23rd 2025
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Thursday 01/23/2025 through Saturday 01/25/2025):
The short-term period will be characterized by dry and quiet weather as high pressure dominates. On Thursday, mostly clear skies and calm conditions will prevail, with temperatures slightly below seasonal averages. Light winds and abundant sunshine will help mitigate the chill during the day, but radiational cooling overnight will result in cold morning lows on Friday. Late Thursday into Friday, a weak frontal boundary will approach the region. This front will increase cloud cover through Friday, particularly during the afternoon and evening hours, but a lack of significant moisture will keep conditions dry. Temperatures on Friday will trend cooler as the frontal passage brings slightly colder air into the region, though winds will remain light, minimizing the impact of wind chill. By Saturday, the high-pressure system will shift eastward, allowing southerly surface flow to develop. This shift will result in a slight warming trend, with daytime highs climbing closer to seasonal norms. Skies will feature a mix of sun and clouds, with increasing high-level clouds later in the day. Overnight lows will still feel cold due to the persistence of clear skies and limited cloud cover, but daytime conditions will feel more comfortable compared to Thursday and Friday.
Long-term Forecast (Sunday 01/26/2025 through Wednesday 01/29/2025):
The long-term period will see continued quiet weather with a gradual warming trend as the influence of high pressure persists. On Sunday, southerly flow will remain in place, allowing temperatures to moderate further. Clouds will increase throughout the day as a weak system passes to the north, but moisture will be insufficient to generate any significant precipitation. Daytime conditions will be milder, but overnight lows will continue to drop sharply under partly cloudy skies. On Monday, high pressure will reestablish itself over the region, bringing dry and mostly sunny conditions. Temperatures will be near or slightly above seasonal averages, with calm winds contributing to a pleasant start to the workweek. Tuesday through Wednesday will remain dominated by high pressure, with a ridge aloft suppressing any major systems from impacting the region. Expect continued dry weather, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds. Daytime temperatures will remain near seasonal norms, while overnight lows stay cold, particularly in areas that experience clear skies and calm winds. This pattern will provide an extended stretch of tranquil winter weather, with no significant hazards expected during this period.
