Issued: 8am on Thursday, October 17th 2024
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Thursday 10/17/2024 through Saturday 10/19/2024):
Broad surface high pressure has parked itself over the region for much of the rest of the week bringing clear skies and cooler conditions. Limited surface mixing due to the lack of wind and clear skies will keep these overnight lows brisk. This will deliver the chance for some early morning frost as well as patchy fog near the river due to retained heat within the water. Otherwise, an uneventful forecast is expected due to stable conditions in the upper atmosphere and surface high pressure.
Long-term Forecast (Sunday 10/20/2024 through Wednesday 10/23/2024):
High pressure will remain mostly in-place but, will weaken as it shifts to the east. A warming trend will occur throughout the end of the week into next week as sunshine continues. Temperatures will progressively warm for daytime highs from the brisk upper 50s into the low to mid 70s. Overnight lows will remain to be cooler as clear skies continue into the night. These overnight lows, however, will no longer be conducive to frost limiting associated risks. The lack of precipitation will continue to persist with a slight chance as a shortwave progresses into the nearby region but the chance is slim.