Issued: 8pm on Sunday, June 4th 2023
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short Term Forecast (Sunday 6/4/2023 through Thursday 6/8/2023)
We are seeing rather weak low pressure bring clouds and some rain spells here and there across the region. High vorticity over our area is what creates that chance, which stems from a the low pressure center off to our northeast. However, we will not see lasting impacts of this, and by nightfall, we should start seeing high pressure settle in.
A northeasterly wind is carrying some smoke from Canadian wildfires down into our area, creating some hazy skies to start off the workweek. Despite this haze, we are still experiencing dominant high pressure with decreasing cloud coverage throughout the week. As a result, temperatures will climb into the mid-80s throughout the day, but they could get pretty chilly overnight into the upper-40s. On Wednesday, there is a weakened cold front looking to pass over the region, causing us to cool off a bit and maybe bring a chance for rain. As of now, we aren’t expecting much rain (if rain, at all), as moisture looks to be low with this passing front. Areas to our west are likely to see isolated rain spells, however. Other than this brief disturbance, expect a hazy start to the week with overall pleasant conditions.
Long Term Forecast (Thursday 6/8/2023 through Sunday 6/11/2023)
Our weekend looks to be quite clear with settled high pressure. However, on Sunday, we are looking to see some effects from a southeastern low pressure system that could bring rain up to the area as soon as Sunday. The highest likelihood for rain and thunderstorms looks to be Sunday evening, but once we get closer to the weekend, models will refine and we can better examine timing and QPF.