Issued: 8pm on Sunday, March 30th 2025
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Sunday 03/30/2025 through Tuesday 04/01/2025):
An approaching cold front in combination with short wave troughs will be delivering the risk for severe weather tonight into early Monday morning. Morning showers and cloud coverage has dampened some of the potential for convection however, we still remain under a slight risk (level 2 out of a 5 scale) by the Storm Prediction Center. The National Weather Service office in Charleston, WV has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for the region addressing the main concerns. Damaging winds will be the largest concern for our area however, some hail and the chance for a few isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out. These storms are forecasted to arrive around 8 P.M. as isolated cells and the line of storms should arrive an hour or two after midnight. Please remember to stay weather aware, check Scalia Lab for future updates, have multiple ways to receive watches and warnings, and review your severe weather safety plan. For more general information on severe weather and severe weather safety, please visit our basic meteorology page.
Monday, conditions will become much calmer and daytime temperatures will be cooler due to the passing cold front. Tuesday, skies will begin to clear and temperatures will remain cooler.
Long-term Forecast (Wednesday 04/02/2025 through Saturday 04/05/2025):
If you thought we were done with severe following Sunday night, the risk returns on Wednesday. A warm front will lift through the region Wednesday brining an influx of warm and moist air. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible during this frontal passage and some may be severe The presence of s strong low level jet will bring ample shear will be conducive for organization but current models are showing instability to be lacking for our region. As of now, the greatest threats appear to be west of our region but, it will be important to stay tuned to this event as it gets closer to ensure we are weather aware in the event that our region becomes more at risk. A secondary event Thursday is possible during the passage of the cold front associated with the same low-pressure system. Much uncertainty remains at this time. Following this event and heading into the weekend, skies will remain cloudy and daytime temperatures will cool back into the low 60s. A very spring-like forecast ahead and remember, April showers bring May flowers!
