Issued: 8pm on Sunday, May 7th 2023
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short Term (Sunday 5/7/2023 through Thursday 5/11/2023)
A dominant Colorado low is driving weather patterns across the United State, providing our area with particularly cloudy and rainy conditions. Significant warm air advection with upstream of the upper level trough is giving us particularly summer-like conditions, and we will see this continue over the course of the week. Temperatures will peak in the upper 70s to lower 80s, and with heightened temperatures and diurnal humidity patterns, expect a foggy start to your Monday morning, especially in low-lying areas of the Ohio Valley. Monday will start off dry, but with that Colorado low pushing in from the west, expect showers in the evening hours with a chance of thunderstorms due to moderate instability. The cold frontal passage with be early on Tuesday, so expect the chance for rain to persist as well as a healthy southwesterly wind. By mid-week, a surface high pressure center will push that low out east, and we will reap the benefits of upper level ridging – clear skies and dry conditions – come Wednesday.
Long Term (Thursday 5/11/2023 through Sunday 5/14/2023)
This upcoming weekend, expect a somewhat uneventful start before a Clipper system is set to arrive. With the nature of these cooler, drier systems, the chance for rain persists but remain pretty low. We can certainly expect a dreary weekend as a result. Check back with us as models begin to refine with timing of its arrival!