Issued: 7pm on Thursday, June 29th 2023
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short Term (Thursday 6-29-23 through Sunday 7-2-23)
The upper level ridging pattern has unfortunately made outdoor conditions uncomfortable, with smoke from the Canadian wildfires lingering in the region over the past several days. An air quality alert is still in effect through this Thursday evening, issued by the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency. However, shortwave energy will begin to move through the ridging pattern, bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms beginning as early as Thursday night. The Storm Prediction Center has all of southeast Ohio under a marginal risk for severe weather on Friday, and a slight risk on Saturday. The main threats will be hail, damaging winds, and heavy downpours. Shortwaves will continue to move through the pattern aloft, therefore bringing these continuous chances for showers and isolates severe thunderstorms. Localized flooding may be a possibility in some low-lying areas. Be sure to stay weather aware. By the close of the weekend, an upper level trough will begin to dig in from the west, pushing ridging off to the east and sending a cold front through.
Long Term (Monday 7-3-23 through Thursday 7-6-23)
Unsettled weather is expected to persist throughout the next week as this troughing pattern lingers in the Midwest. Models are showing upper level ridging trying to build back in briefly, but another shortwave trough will late week, bringing near daily chances for showers and thunderstorms.