Issued: 9pm on Sunday, April 2nd 2023
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short Term (Sunday 4/2/2023 through Thursday 4/6/2023)
High pressure currently resides in the area, making for a beautiful day with clear skies. A deep low pressure developing out west drives much of the weather that we see this week, starting with the warm frontal passage on Monday, spiking up our temperatures to the 70s (and even 80s!) and giving us some rain with it. We see a wind shift that will promote warm air advection through Tuesday, so warm temperatures are definitely a key point with this system. Currently, we are seeing increasing instability on Tuesday as well, so cracks of thunder won’t be uncommon, and winds are going to increase with that tightening pressure gradient on Wednesday. Wednesday, expect the cold front to make its way across the region, and the greatest likelihood for rain exists with its passing. Expect to wake up Thursday with wet conditions due to the frontal passage.
Long Term (Thursday 4/6/2023 through Sunday 4/9/2023)
Once the low pressure speeds east, we see generally consistent and comfortable conditions with high pressure settling in briefly. Models are showing frontal boundaries existing down south that might make for some rain, but as of now, it is of low confidence.