Issued: 10pm on Sunday, May 26th 2024
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Sunday 5/26/24 through Tuesday 5/28/24):
A second line of storms is going to move through SE Ohio after midnight tonight. CAMs currently suggest between 4 am and 7 am. Limited CAPE with decent CINH will be present. However, there will be some strong 0-3 km bulk shear to keep them going. As a result, these storms may be severe. Main threats include strong, damaging winds/wind gusts and hail, which may have the potential to knock out power. Therefore, make sure to charge your devices and any extra battery packs you may have on hand, just in case. There is also the chance for an isolated tornado, but the potential remains low in the current environment. Either way, it is important to have a way to wake you up in case of any warnings. Furthermore, heavy downpours may occur, causing some localized and flash flooding tonight.
After the second line passes, the rest of Monday afternoon should remain dry for SE Ohio. A few pop-up showers may be possible overnight into Tuesday. Tuesday afternoon showers will return with an upper-level shortwave embedded in the 500 mb trough and will continue into the early hours of Wednesday, where afternoon temperatures will drop back into the low-to-mid 70s.
Long-term Forecast (Wednesday 5/29/24 through Saturday 6/1/24):
On Wednesday, surface high pressure will begin to build in from the west. This will result in the clearing of clouds and sunny, dry afternoons for the next few days through at least Saturday. Afternoon highs will remain cool in the 70s during this period due to the cold air mass moving in but will begin to warm back up Friday and Saturday, approaching the low 80s as southerly flow dominates once again.
