Issued: 9pm on Thursday, June 13th 2024
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short-term Forecast (Thursday 6/13/2024 through Sunday 6/16/2024):
A small shortwave will move through tonight, providing enough lift to bring some minor showers through the morning hours on Friday. However, the rain doesn’t stop there. A cold front associated with the longwave trough aloft will bring additional, potentially strong showers and thunderstorms Friday afternoon and into the evening hours. Moderate instability will be present, with CAPE values reaching 1000 J/kg and decent shear up to 35 kt. However, due to the isolated nature of the storms per the CAMs, they might miss Athens entirely. Either way, SE Ohio is under a marginal risk for severe weather by the SPC, so everyone should be weather-aware.
Strong high pressure will immediately fill in going into Saturday afternoon, allowing for sunny skies to return. Saturday afternoon temperatures will remain in the mid-80s due to the cold air mass brought in by the cold front. However, a significant warming trend will ramp right back up on Sunday due to the strong southerly flow from the high and persistently sunny skies. Temperatures are expected to jump into the mid-90s Sunday.
Long-term Forecast (Monday 6/17/2024 through Wednesday 6/19/2024):
The strong high will continue to persist through mid-week, while afternoon highs will range from the mid to upper 90s. These high temperatures look like they will persist for several days, at least through the rest of next week for now, and with the added moisture from the southerly flow, it will be risky for those outside for extended periods of time. Skies will range from mostly sunny to partly cloudy, with small chances for some pop-up showers/thunderstorms due to the strong daytime heating and elevated moisture content.
