Issued: 12am on Thursday, January 1st 1970
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short term (Wednesday 6/19 through Saturday 6/22)
Relatively upper level zonal flow and a blocking high off the SE coast of the U.S has been responsible for the dragging stationary front that has been over the state creating the heavy rain we have been experiencing for the past few days. Zonal flow will continue through today to Thursday with the stationary front north of the region. This results in some modest WAA as southerly flow is present south of the boundary. Precipitation becomes more likely late Wednesday into early Thursday as the frontal boundary drags southward, closer to the region. Rain looks to be consistently moderate through Thursday, but any convection triggered along the boundary will likely result in some heavier precipitation. This will be the case on Thursday as a weak mid level disturbance rolls through and brings a cold front through the region, resulting in thunderstorms across the region. Ridging begins to build into the upper levels through Friday that will bring cloud clearing in the day, but clouds will return Friday night as a weak warm front moves through the region that will likely keep some clouds in the area for Saturday.
Long term (Sunday 6/23 through Tuesday 6/25)
The area will be within a broad warm sector on Saturday that should bring some WAA for the day. Some moisture will be present through the afternoon that could lead to a few isolated rain showers and storms in the afternoon. Upper level ridging builds late on Sunday into Monday that will trap some moisture in the region. Showers dont look likely, but Monday looks to be somewhat humid. High pressure generated from ridging will appear on Tuesday that clears clouds and moisture.