Issued: 12am on Thursday, January 1st 1970
Technical Forecast Discussion
Short term (Wednesday 3/27 through Saturday 3/30)
Weak upper level ridging moves over the region today helping create the clear conditions for this afternoon and evening. High pressure to the east will move off the Atlantic coast as a band of moisture is seen moving in from the west. This is associated with an upper level trough that is situated over Est Central Canada for today. As Thursday progress, the trough will undergo light digging allowing for moisture to be brought through the Plains into the region Thursday night. Precipitation will be associated with an extensive cold front that is connected to a low pressure system in Canada. Precipitation looks to last from Thursday night through Sunday morning due to the section of the cold front moving towards us being cut off from the low and transitioning into a stationary front early Saturday. Currently, NWS has very little on flooding potential as precipitable water is only around 1 inch on Saturday and rainfall rates look moderate.
Long term (Sunday 3/31 through Tuesday 4/2)
Precipitation has a chance to continue Sunday morning and if so, the region could likely see a very short period of snow for Sunday morning. This will be due to a high pushing a cold front from the Northern Plains towards the quasi-stationary front affecting the region resulting in CAA throughout the temperature profile that will form snow if moisture is still available. The proximity of these two fronts could create some small gusts on Sunday, but hardly anything of note. Dry air moves in late Sunday after the second cold front moves through. High pressure is visible Monday, but a shortwave feature is also visible. Models currently show no changes in weather patterns as it passes from Monday through Tuesday as the area will be in an area of weak winds and convergence.
